Lecture: Decision Networks

Lecture: Decision Networks

Administrative information


Title Decision networks
Duration 60
Module A
Lesson Type Lecture
Focus Technical - Foundations of AI
Topic Foundations of AI

 

Keywords


Naive Bayesian networks,Bayesian networks,Decision networks,maximum exp utility principle,optimal decision,probabilistic inference,value of information,

 

Learning Goals


  • Naive Bayesian networks
  • Bayesian networks
  • Decision networks
  • Students can define a multivariate joint distribution: multinomial and Gaussian
  • Students can explain the difference between association versus causation
  • Students can define observational, causal, and counterfactual inference
  • Students can define fairness using observational and counterfactual reasoning

 

Expected Preparation


Learning Events to be Completed Before

Obligatory for Students

  • Probability (e.g. from AIMA4e or wikipedia)
  • basic concepts of probability theory
  • multivariate joint probability distributions, chain rule

Optional for Students

  • Artificial Intelligence: A Modern Approach, 4th Global ed. by Stuart Russell and Peter Norvig, Pearson (AIMA4e):ch16-17

References and background for students:

  • AIMA4e:ch16-17

Recommended for Teachers

  • AIMA4e:ch16-17
  • Charniak, E., 1991. Bayesian networks without tears. AI magazine, 12(4), pp.50-50.
  • Pearl, J., 2019. The seven tools of causal inference, with reflections on machine learning. Communications of the ACM, 62(3), pp.54-60.

Lesson Materials


 

The materials of this learning event are available under CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.

 

Instructions for Teachers


  • Reminder: framework of a one-step decision problem, elements (action, uncertainty, utility/loss), maximum expected utility principle
  • Reminder: probabilistic graphical models, causal diagrams
  • Define elements of a decision network: chance, action, utility/ loss nodes
  • Explain workflow: evidences, actions, probabilistic inference, expectations, maximizing action
  • Example
  • Discuss value of information

Outline/time schedule


 
Duration Description
10 Multivariate joint distribution: multinomial and Gaussian
5 Difference between association versus causation
15 General Bayesian networks
15 Observational, causal, and counterfactual inference
15 Example: definition of fairness using observational, causal and counterfactual reasoning

 

More information

Click here for an overview of all lesson plans of the master human centred AI

Please visit the home page of the consortium HCAIM

Acknowledgements

The Human-Centered AI Masters programme was co-financed by the Connecting Europe Facility of the European Union Under Grant №CEF-TC-2020-1 Digital Skills 2020-EU-IA-0068.

The materials of this learning event are available under CC BY-NC-SA 4.0

 

The HCAIM consortium consists of three excellence centres, three SMEs and four Universities

HCAIM Consortium

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