Administrative information


Title Decision theory
Duration 60
Module A
Lesson Type Lecture
Focus Technical - Foundations of AI
Topic Foundations of AI

 

Keywords


consequentialism, subjectivism, probability theory, utility theory, decision theory, optimal decision, bounded rationality, satisficing, cognitive bias, effective altruism, off-switch game, sequential decisions, value of information, multi-armed bandit, exploration-exploitation dilemma,

 

Learning Goals


 

Expected Preparation


Learning Events to be Completed Before

Obligatory for Students

  • Probability distribution, conditional probability, expected value (e.g from AIMA4e or wikipedia)
  • Influence diagram

Optional for Students

  • Artificial Intelligence: A Modern Approach, 4th Global ed. by Stuart Russell and Peter Norvig, Pearson (AIMA4e):ch12-18

References and background for students:

  • AIMA4e:ch12-18

Recommended for Teachers

 

Lesson Materials



The materials of this learning event are available under CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.

 

Instructions for Teachers


Outline/time schedule


 
Duration Description Concepts Activity Material
5 Sources of uncertainty and Interpretations of probability uncertainty    
5 Bernoulli and multinomial distributions univariate distributions    
5 Axioms of probability theory (additivity) probability theory    
5 Elements and graphical notation of a single-step decision problem: the decision network of stochastic→utility/loss←action nodes decision problem    
5 Utility and loss functions, common loss functions and matrices preferences    
5 Expected value, the maximum expected utility principle optimal decision    
5 Conditional probability and Bayes' theorem (for two variables and with condition) conditional probability    
5 Independence and conditional independence independence    
5 Example of a Naive Bayesian network Naive Bayes net    
5 Example of decision network based on a Naive Bayesian network      
5 Posterior inference and selection of optimal decision posterior inference    
5 Between evidence inference and calculation of the value of information value of information    

 

More information

Click here for an overview of all lesson plans of the master human centred AI

Please visit the home page of the consortium HCAIM

Acknowledgements

The Human-Centered AI Masters programme was co-financed by the Connecting Europe Facility of the European Union Under Grant №CEF-TC-2020-1 Digital Skills 2020-EU-IA-0068.

The materials of this learning event are available under CC BY-NC-SA 4.0

 

The HCAIM consortium consists of three excellence centres, three SMEs and four Universities

HCAIM Consortium